{"id":36,"date":"2026-09-03T06:18:15","date_gmt":"2026-09-03T06:18:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.ipaddressbroker.net\/blog\/?p=36"},"modified":"2026-09-03T08:18:15","modified_gmt":"2026-09-03T08:18:15","slug":"ipv4-market-h1-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ipaddressbroker.net\/blog\/2026\/09\/ipv4-market-h1-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"IPv6 passed half the internet. IPv4 just had its busiest half-year."},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"takeaways\">\n<h2>The short version<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>IPv6 passed half the internet in spring 2026, and the IPv4 transfer market had its busiest half-year on record at the same time.<\/li>\n<li>Volume rose two and a half times year on year. The average price fell 35.7%, to $20.04 per address.<\/li>\n<li>Those two facts are the same fact: a market with more supply reaching more buyers prices lower and trades more.<\/li>\n<li>AFRINIC ratified a transfer policy on 4 February 2026. All five registries now have one.<\/li>\n<li>If you are holding space and waiting for a better number, the thing that changed is not the price. It is who you are competing with.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<p>Two things happened to the IPv4 market in the first half of 2026, and most of the commentary has picked one and ignored the other.<\/p>\n<p>The first is that IPv6 finally crossed half the internet. The second is that the IPv4 transfer market moved 5,016,064 addresses across 596 transactions &mdash; more than two and a half times the volume of the same period a year earlier &mdash; while the average price per address fell to $20.04, down 35.7% year on year.<\/p>\n<p>Read separately, those look like a protocol winning and an asset class dying. Read together, they are a description of a market that has finally started working properly.<\/p>\n<h2>Volume up, price down, and why that is not a contradiction<\/h2>\n<figure class=\"fig\">\n<div class=\"fig-scroll\"><svg viewBox=\"0 0 720 396\" role=\"img\" aria-labelledby=\"f1t f1d\" class=\"fig-svg\"> <title id=\"f1t\">IPv4 average price per address against volume transferred, H1 2025 to H1 2026<\/title> <desc id=\"f1d\">Bars show addresses transferred rising from 1.95 million in the first half of 2025 to 5.02 million in the first half of 2026. A line shows the average price per address falling from an implied 31 dollars to a reported 20.04 dollars over the same period.<\/desc> <!-- gridlines --> <line x1=\"58\" y1=\"46\" x2=\"646\" y2=\"46\" stroke=\"var(--rule-2)\" stroke-width=\"1\"\/> <text x=\"48\" y=\"50\" text-anchor=\"end\" class=\"fig-tick\">$38<\/text> <text x=\"714\" y=\"50\" text-anchor=\"end\" class=\"fig-tick\">6.0M<\/text> <line x1=\"58\" y1=\"117\" x2=\"646\" y2=\"117\" stroke=\"var(--rule-2)\" stroke-width=\"1\"\/> <text x=\"48\" y=\"121\" text-anchor=\"end\" class=\"fig-tick\">$29<\/text> <text x=\"714\" y=\"121\" text-anchor=\"end\" class=\"fig-tick\">4.5M<\/text> <line x1=\"58\" y1=\"188\" x2=\"646\" y2=\"188\" stroke=\"var(--rule-2)\" stroke-width=\"1\"\/> <text x=\"48\" y=\"192\" text-anchor=\"end\" class=\"fig-tick\">$19<\/text> <text x=\"714\" y=\"192\" text-anchor=\"end\" class=\"fig-tick\">3.0M<\/text> <line x1=\"58\" y1=\"259\" x2=\"646\" y2=\"259\" stroke=\"var(--rule-2)\" stroke-width=\"1\"\/> <text x=\"48\" y=\"263\" text-anchor=\"end\" class=\"fig-tick\">$10<\/text> <text x=\"714\" y=\"263\" text-anchor=\"end\" class=\"fig-tick\">1.5M<\/text> <line x1=\"58\" y1=\"330\" x2=\"646\" y2=\"330\" stroke=\"var(--rule-2)\" stroke-width=\"1\"\/> <text x=\"48\" y=\"334\" text-anchor=\"end\" class=\"fig-tick\">$0<\/text> <text x=\"714\" y=\"334\" text-anchor=\"end\" class=\"fig-tick\">0.0M<\/text> <!-- volume bars --> <rect x=\"124\" y=\"237.7\" width=\"64\" height=\"92.3\" fill=\"var(--blue-wash)\" stroke=\"var(--blue)\" stroke-width=\"1\" rx=\"3\"\/> <text x=\"156\" y=\"228.7\" text-anchor=\"middle\" class=\"fig-val-blue\">1.95M<\/text> <rect x=\"516\" y=\"92.386666666667\" width=\"64\" height=\"237.61333333333\" fill=\"var(--blue-wash)\" stroke=\"var(--blue)\" stroke-width=\"1\" rx=\"3\"\/> <text x=\"548\" y=\"83.386666666667\" text-anchor=\"middle\" class=\"fig-val-blue\">5.02M<\/text> <!-- price line --> <polyline fill=\"none\" stroke=\"var(--warn)\" stroke-width=\"2.5\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" points=\"156,97 352,144.9 548,180.2 \"\/> <circle cx=\"156\" cy=\"97\" r=\"5\" fill=\"var(--paper)\" stroke=\"var(--warn)\" stroke-width=\"2.5\"\/> <text x=\"156\" y=\"81\" text-anchor=\"middle\" class=\"fig-val-warn\">$31.17*<\/text> <circle cx=\"352\" cy=\"144.9\" r=\"5\" fill=\"var(--paper)\" stroke=\"var(--warn)\" stroke-width=\"2.5\"\/> <text x=\"352\" y=\"129\" text-anchor=\"middle\" class=\"fig-val-warn\">$24.77*<\/text> <circle cx=\"548\" cy=\"180.2\" r=\"5\" fill=\"var(--paper)\" stroke=\"var(--warn)\" stroke-width=\"2.5\"\/> <text x=\"548\" y=\"164\" text-anchor=\"middle\" class=\"fig-val-warn\">$20.04<\/text> <!-- x labels --> <text x=\"156\" y=\"354\" text-anchor=\"middle\" class=\"fig-axis\">H1 2025<\/text> <text x=\"352\" y=\"354\" text-anchor=\"middle\" class=\"fig-axis\">H2 2025<\/text> <text x=\"548\" y=\"354\" text-anchor=\"middle\" class=\"fig-axis\">H1 2026<\/text> <!-- legend, above the plot so it never crowds the axis labels --> <g transform=\"translate(58,16)\"> <rect x=\"0\" y=\"-9\" width=\"11\" height=\"11\" fill=\"var(--blue-wash)\" stroke=\"var(--blue)\" rx=\"2\"\/> <text x=\"18\" y=\"0\" class=\"fig-legend\">Addresses transferred &mdash; right axis<\/text> <line x1=\"310\" y1=\"-4\" x2=\"332\" y2=\"-4\" stroke=\"var(--warn)\" stroke-width=\"2.5\"\/> <text x=\"340\" y=\"0\" class=\"fig-legend\">Average price per address &mdash; left axis<\/text> <\/g> <\/svg><\/div>\n<p><span class=\"fig-hint\">Scroll to see the full chart<\/span><figcaption>Volume up, price down. Addresses transferred rose two and a half times year on year while the average price fell by more than a third. <strong>*<\/strong> The two earlier price points are implied by the reported declines rather than separately published. Source: IPv4.Center H1 2026 market report.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>The instinct on seeing a third wiped off the average price is that demand has collapsed. Demand did not collapse. Transactions rose from 420 to 596, and the address count rose from roughly 1.95 million to just over 5 million. More buyers closed more deals than in any comparable period we have data for.<\/p>\n<p>What changed is the mix. The single most common trade in the first half of 2026 was a \/24 &mdash; 182 of the 596 deals, about 30.5% of the market. But the volume growth came from the other end: large, clean prefixes moving in size. A \/16 does not price like a \/24, and it never has. When the large end of the market wakes up, the blended average falls even if nothing any individual seller holds has become less valuable.<\/p>\n<p>This is the number that gets misread most often in our conversations with clients. An average price across every block size is a statement about what traded, not about what your block is worth. A holder of a clean \/22 reading a headline about a 35% decline is reading a statistic that mostly describes other people&#8217;s transactions.<\/p>\n<h2>The market is now genuinely global<\/h2>\n<p>On 4 February 2026, AFRINIC ratified its Number Resources Transfer Policy. The policy establishes the conditions under which IPv4 blocks and ASNs may move between AFRINIC members, and between AFRINIC and other regions where reciprocal policies exist. It also keeps a firm hand on the outcome: some resources are restricted from leaving the region, transfers require AFRINIC&#8217;s written approval, and transfers arranged outside approved channels are not recognised.<\/p>\n<p>That last clause matters more than the headline. A ratified policy is not an open door; it is a defined one. Anyone treating the African region as newly unrestricted supply is going to spend a lot of time on filings that do not clear.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"fig\">\n<div class=\"fig-scroll\"><svg viewBox=\"0 0 720 336\" role=\"img\" aria-labelledby=\"f2t f2d\" class=\"fig-svg\"> <title id=\"f2t\">IPv4 transfer activity by regional registry, first half of 2026<\/title> <desc id=\"f2d\">ARIN recorded 290 transactions at an average of $18.95 per address, RIPE 273 at $20.95, APNIC 22 at $20.69, LACNIC 11 at $24.77, and AFRINIC none, having only ratified its transfer policy in February 2026.<\/desc> <text x=\"0\" y=\"16\" class=\"fig-legend\">Transactions<\/text> <text x=\"560\" y=\"16\" class=\"fig-legend\">Avg price \/ IP<\/text> <text x=\"0\" y=\"55\" class=\"fig-rowlabel\">ARIN<\/text> <rect x=\"84\" y=\"40\" width=\"348\" height=\"21\" fill=\"var(--blue)\" rx=\"3\"\/> <text x=\"442\" y=\"56\" class=\"fig-val\">290<\/text> <text x=\"560\" y=\"56\" class=\"fig-val\">$18.95<\/text> <text x=\"84\" y=\"77\" class=\"fig-tick\">Most active region by deal count<\/text> <text x=\"0\" y=\"109\" class=\"fig-rowlabel\">RIPE<\/text> <rect x=\"84\" y=\"94\" width=\"327.6\" height=\"21\" fill=\"var(--blue)\" rx=\"3\"\/> <text x=\"421.6\" y=\"110\" class=\"fig-val\">273<\/text> <text x=\"560\" y=\"110\" class=\"fig-val\">$20.95<\/text> <text x=\"84\" y=\"131\" class=\"fig-tick\">24-month hold keeps supply tight<\/text> <text x=\"0\" y=\"163\" class=\"fig-rowlabel\">APNIC<\/text> <rect x=\"84\" y=\"148\" width=\"26.4\" height=\"21\" fill=\"var(--blue)\" rx=\"3\"\/> <text x=\"120.4\" y=\"164\" class=\"fig-val\">22<\/text> <text x=\"560\" y=\"164\" class=\"fig-val\">$20.69<\/text> <text x=\"84\" y=\"185\" class=\"fig-tick\">Thin sample, wide spreads<\/text> <text x=\"0\" y=\"217\" class=\"fig-rowlabel\">LACNIC<\/text> <rect x=\"84\" y=\"202\" width=\"13.2\" height=\"21\" fill=\"var(--blue)\" rx=\"3\"\/> <text x=\"107.2\" y=\"218\" class=\"fig-val\">11<\/text> <text x=\"560\" y=\"218\" class=\"fig-val\">$24.77<\/text> <text x=\"84\" y=\"239\" class=\"fig-tick\">Least liquid, highest average<\/text> <text x=\"0\" y=\"271\" class=\"fig-rowlabel\">AFRINIC<\/text> <rect x=\"84\" y=\"256\" width=\"360\" height=\"21\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"var(--rule)\" stroke-width=\"1\" stroke-dasharray=\"4 4\" rx=\"3\"\/> <text x=\"94\" y=\"272\" class=\"fig-tick\">no recorded transfers<\/text> <text x=\"560\" y=\"272\" class=\"fig-val-muted\">&mdash;<\/text> <text x=\"84\" y=\"293\" class=\"fig-tick\">Transfer policy ratified 4 Feb 2026<\/text> <\/svg><\/div>\n<p><span class=\"fig-hint\">Scroll to see the full chart<\/span><figcaption>Two registries carry the market. ARIN and RIPE together accounted for 563 of the 596 recorded transactions in the first half of 2026. Source: IPv4.Center H1 2026 market report; AFRINIC policy record.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>The regional picture explains why. AFRINIC recorded no transfers at all in the first half of 2026 &mdash; the policy was ratified in February, and a policy is not the same as a functioning market. Meanwhile ARIN and RIPE between them carried 563 of the 596 transactions. LACNIC recorded eleven, at the highest average price of any region, which is what thin liquidity looks like rather than what strength looks like.<\/p>\n<p>RIPE deserves a note of its own. Its 24-month hold on transferred space means a block cannot be bought and flipped, which removes a class of speculative participant from the market and keeps supply tighter than the raw transaction count suggests. It is the reason RIPE&#8217;s average sat above ARIN&#8217;s despite ARIN closing more deals. If you are choosing where to source from, that structural detail is worth more attention than the price difference itself. We cover the specifics on our <a href=\"\/ripe-ip-broker.html\">RIPE broker page<\/a> and <a href=\"\/arin-ip-broker.html\">ARIN broker page<\/a>.<\/p>\n<h2>IPv6 crossed 50%, and IPv4 got busier anyway<\/h2>\n<p>Google&#8217;s measurement of IPv6-capable clients crossed 50% for the first time in spring 2026. The Internet Society&#8217;s Pulse project marked the crossing at 50.10% on 28 March; by late April it was sitting there consistently.<\/p>\n<p>Then the useful complication: APNIC Labs, measuring the same internet on the same date with a different weighting, put the figure at 42%.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"fig\">\n<div class=\"fig-scroll\"><svg viewBox=\"0 0 720 250\" role=\"img\" aria-labelledby=\"f3t f3d\" class=\"fig-svg\"> <title id=\"f3t\">Two measurements of IPv6 capability in 2026<\/title> <desc id=\"f3d\">Google's measurement of IPv6-capable clients reached 50 percent in spring 2026, while APNIC Labs recorded 42 percent on the same date using a different weighting method.<\/desc> <text x=\"0\" y=\"68\" class=\"fig-rowlabel\">Google<\/text> <text x=\"0\" y=\"88\" class=\"fig-tick\">IPv6-capable clients<\/text> <rect x=\"132\" y=\"54\" width=\"460\" height=\"28\" fill=\"var(--sheet)\" rx=\"4\"\/> <rect x=\"132\" y=\"54\" width=\"230\" height=\"28\" fill=\"var(--blue)\" rx=\"4\"\/> <text x=\"374\" y=\"74\" class=\"fig-val\">50%<\/text> <text x=\"0\" y=\"146\" class=\"fig-rowlabel\">APNIC Labs<\/text> <text x=\"0\" y=\"166\" class=\"fig-tick\">same date, different weighting<\/text> <rect x=\"132\" y=\"132\" width=\"460\" height=\"28\" fill=\"var(--sheet)\" rx=\"4\"\/> <rect x=\"132\" y=\"132\" width=\"193\" height=\"28\" fill=\"var(--ink-3)\" rx=\"4\"\/> <text x=\"337\" y=\"152\" class=\"fig-val\">42%<\/text> <!-- the 50% line --> <line x1=\"362\" y1=\"34\" x2=\"362\" y2=\"170\" stroke=\"var(--warn)\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" stroke-dasharray=\"5 4\"\/> <text x=\"370\" y=\"30\" class=\"fig-val-warn\">50% &mdash; half the internet<\/text> <text x=\"0\" y=\"238\" class=\"fig-tick\">Both are correct. They answer different questions about the same internet.<\/text> <\/svg><\/div>\n<p><span class=\"fig-hint\">Scroll to see the full chart<\/span><figcaption>The milestone that is not a single number. Google's client-capability measurement crossed 50% in spring 2026; APNIC Labs, weighting its sample differently, put the same moment at 42%. Sources: Internet Society Pulse; APNIC Blog.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Neither number is wrong. They answer slightly different questions &mdash; what fraction of clients <em>can<\/em> use IPv6, weighted how, and sampled from where. The eight-point gap is a useful reminder that &#8220;half the internet&#8221; is a headline rather than a measurement.<\/p>\n<p>More to the point for anyone holding or needing address space: IPv6 capability is not IPv4 obsolescence. As APNIC&#8217;s George Michaelson put it in his write-up of the milestone, the internet now runs as a two-protocol network, with IPv4 persisting through direct connectivity, NAT and carrier-grade NAT alongside IPv6. Dual-stack is not a transitional inconvenience that ends on a date. It is the operating state, and it requires IPv4 on both ends of every connection that has not gone IPv6-only.<\/p>\n<p>Which is precisely why the transfer market got busier in the same half-year that IPv6 passed 50%. Networks growing today still need reachable IPv4, and the only place left to get it is from someone who already has it.<\/p>\n<h2>What this means if you are holding space<\/h2>\n<p>The honest read is that the market got more efficient, not weaker. More participants, more closed transactions, tighter spreads, and now a policy path in all five regions. That is a better market to sell into than the one that existed two years ago, even though the headline average is lower.<\/p>\n<p>Three things follow from the data:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Stop pricing off the blended average.<\/strong> Your block prices off its size, its registry, whether it can move to where the buyer is, and its history. A clean, contiguous, well-documented prefix does not trade at the same number as the aggregate. Neither does one with blocklist entries attached.<\/li>\n<li><strong>The lease case has strengthened, not weakened.<\/strong> At the current spread, an address bought outright pays back in roughly 34 months against prevailing lease rates. That maths cuts both ways: it is why buyers with a dated requirement increasingly lease rather than purchase, and it is why holders who expect to need their space back should look hard at a <a href=\"\/sellyourspace.html#lease\">term lease<\/a> before selling.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Timing is a policy question, not just a price question.<\/strong> RIPE&#8217;s hold period, ARIN&#8217;s review of the recipient, LACNIC&#8217;s conditions and AFRINIC&#8217;s new approval requirement all put dates in your calendar that have nothing to do with what a buyer will pay. A deal agreed without checking those dates is a deal that sits.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>And if you are on the other side of it &mdash; growing, and short of addresses &mdash; the same numbers read as an invitation. There is more supply reaching the market than at any point since exhaustion, at a lower average price, with a formal transfer path in every region for the first time. The <a href=\"\/buyspace.html\">seven acquisition models<\/a> exist because the right structure depends on whether your constraint is capital or a deployment date.<\/p>\n<h2>What we are watching for the rest of 2026<\/h2>\n<p>IPv4.Center&#8217;s own forecast puts the year-end average at $19.54, essentially flat against the first half. We would treat that as a reasonable central case and watch three things that could move it:<\/p>\n<ol>\n<li><strong>Whether AFRINIC transfers actually start.<\/strong> Ratification in February, zero transfers by June. The first cleared inter-RIR transfer out of the region will tell us far more than the policy text does.<\/li>\n<li><strong>The ARIN draft policy lowering in-region usage requirements from a \/22 to a \/24.<\/strong> If it passes, a meaningful number of smaller organisations become eligible recipients, which pushes demand into exactly the block size that already dominates deal count.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Whether the large-prefix activity that drove H1 volume continues.<\/strong> If it does, expect the blended average to stay soft while individual \/24 pricing holds up. That divergence will confuse a lot of headlines.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p>If you hold IPv4 space and want to know what it is actually worth &mdash; not what the average says &mdash; that is a conversation, not a calculator. <a href=\"\/contact.html\">Tell a consultant what you hold<\/a>, roughly how it is used, and what your constraint is, and you will get a structure, a timeline and a number back.<\/p>\n<div class=\"sources\">\n<h2>Sources<\/h2>\n<ol>\n<li>Mustafa Akdeniz, <a href=\"https:\/\/circleid.com\/posts\/ipv4-market-in-h1-2026-a-price-reset-not-a-market-collapse\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">&ldquo;IPv4 Market in H1 2026: A Price Reset, Not a Market Collapse&rdquo;<\/a>, CircleID, 6 July 2026. Transaction counts, address volumes, regional averages and the H2 forecast.<\/li>\n<li>AFRINIC, <a href=\"https:\/\/afrinic.net\/policy\/overview\/ratified-04-02-2026\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">ratified policy record, 4 February 2026<\/a> (AFPUB-2020-GEN-006-DRAFT03, Number Resources Transfer Policy).<\/li>\n<li>Internet Society Pulse, <a href=\"https:\/\/pulse.internetsociety.org\/en\/blog\/2026\/04\/18-years-later-ipv6-reaches-majority\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">&ldquo;18 Years Later, IPv6 Reaches Majority&rdquo;<\/a>, April 2026.<\/li>\n<li>George Michaelson, <a href=\"https:\/\/blog.apnic.net\/2026\/04\/28\/google-hits-50-ipv6\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">&ldquo;Google hits 50% IPv6&rdquo;<\/a>, APNIC Blog, 28 April 2026. The 42% APNIC Labs figure and the two-protocol framing.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p style=\"margin-top:1rem; font-size:.85rem\">Figures are illustrations of published data, not offers. Accuro does not publish pricing; what a specific block is worth depends on its size, registry, transferability and history.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>IPv6 crossed 50% of clients in spring 2026 and the IPv4 transfer market moved 5.02 million addresses in the same half-year &#8211; two and a half times the volume of a year earlier, at an average price a third lower. Both facts describe the same market.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[8,10,5,6,9,7],"class_list":["post-36","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-market-analysis","tag-afrinic","tag-arin","tag-ipv4-market","tag-ipv6","tag-ripe","tag-transfers"],"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO 5.0.1.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"IPv6 crossed 50% of clients in spring 2026 and the IPv4 transfer market moved 5.02 million addresses in the same half-year - two and a half times the volume of a year earlier, at an average price a third lower. 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